Waterside Karori vs North Wellington AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.2%
18%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Waterside Karori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
HNW
2 - 2
WKA
51%
21%
28%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
WKA
0 - 4
MIR
7%
11%
82%
|
24 | 48 | 24 | -2 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
WKA
1 - 3
WSU
36%
21%
42%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
WEL
1 - 0
WKA
92%
6%
2%
|
25 | 49 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
NAP
2 - 0
WKA
49%
21%
31%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
North Wellington AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
NWA
3 - 2
NAP
13%
15%
71%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
NWA
1 - 6
WEL
9%
13%
78%
|
17 | 43 | 26 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
WEL
3 - 1
NWA
90%
7%
3%
|
17 | 43 | 26 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
WAF
0 - 7
NWA
11%
14%
76%
|
17 | 8 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
PET
3 - 1
NWA
18%
18%
65%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | -2 |