Waterside Karori vs Napier City Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
10.3%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.2%
65.8%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
3.2%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
1.7%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
13.1%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
7.4%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
3.5%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+56%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Waterside Karori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
WEL
2 - 0
WKA
90%
7%
3%
|
21 | 45 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
WKA
1 - 1
PET
79%
13%
9%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
WUF
4 - 2
WKA
37%
22%
41%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
WKA
1 - 2
NWA
65%
17%
18%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
HNW
2 - 2
WKA
51%
21%
28%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Napier City Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
NAP
2 - 0
WEL
8%
14%
78%
|
24 | 50 | 26 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
NAP
2 - 5
WEL
14%
16%
71%
|
25 | 43 | 18 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
PET
2 - 2
NAP
9%
13%
77%
|
26 | 14 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
NAP
0 - 4
WEL
14%
16%
70%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | -2 |
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
NAP
4 - 0
WUF
83%
11%
7%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |