Waterside Karori vs Island Bay United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.9%
Win probability
3.29
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.3%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.4%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.7%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.6%
9.8%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9.8%
5.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
4º
7º
6º
12
8º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
12 | 12 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 9 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Waterside Karori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2024 |
WKA
2 - 1
WEL
30%
20%
50%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
WKA
4 - 1
STO
71%
16%
14%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
WSU
2 - 3
WKA
55%
20%
25%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
WEL
4 - 1
WKA
86%
9%
5%
|
23 | 49 | 26 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
WKA
1 - 5
NAP
46%
20%
33%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Island Bay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2024 |
WEL
2 - 1
IBU
89%
7%
4%
|
8 | 27 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
IBU
1 - 6
WEL
9%
14%
78%
|
9 | 49 | 40 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
NAP
3 - 1
IBU
86%
9%
5%
|
10 | 27 | 17 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
IBU
2 - 3
NWA
59%
19%
23%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
PET
2 - 3
IBU
76%
14%
10%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | +1 |