Waterhouse vs Tivoli Gardens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
23.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
3º
14º
6º
51
1º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
40 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
85% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
85% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 7 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Waterhouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2024 |
HAR
1 - 2
WAT
36%
29%
35%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2023 |
WAT
1 - 1
MOL
57%
24%
19%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2023 |
DFC
2 - 1
WAT
50%
26%
24%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2023 |
WAT
4 - 1
SFS
69%
20%
11%
|
69 | 34 | 35 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2023 |
WAT
1 - 1
POR
47%
27%
26%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Tivoli Gardens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2024 |
TRI
1 - 2
MON
70%
19%
11%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2023 |
TRI
3 - 1
LIM
79%
14%
7%
|
66 | 9 | 57 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2023 |
HAR
0 - 3
TRI
40%
27%
33%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +2 |
| 21 Dec. 2023 |
CAV
1 - 1
TRI
54%
25%
21%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
TRI
1 - 0
MOL
56%
23%
21%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | +1 |