Waterhouse vs Tivoli Gardens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
21.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Waterhouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
HAR
0 - 2
WAT
30%
29%
41%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
WAT
1 - 1
MPA
45%
27%
28%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
LIO
1 - 1
WAT
30%
29%
41%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
WAT
0 - 2
MOL
65%
22%
14%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
POR
0 - 4
WAT
34%
30%
36%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Tivoli Gardens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
TRI
3 - 1
MPA
40%
28%
33%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
MOL
0 - 1
TRI
35%
28%
37%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2022 |
TRI
0 - 1
DFC
51%
25%
24%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2022 |
MON
1 - 1
TRI
33%
27%
40%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
TRI
3 - 0
VER
57%
24%
20%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | +1 |