Waterhouse vs Tivoli Gardens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
35.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Waterhouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
BOY
1 - 2
WAT
48%
28%
24%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2017 |
WAT
2 - 1
UWI
35%
28%
37%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2017 |
WAT
1 - 1
BOY
50%
26%
24%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
LIO
0 - 0
WAT
53%
27%
20%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2017 |
MON
1 - 0
WAT
58%
25%
18%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Tivoli Gardens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
TRI
1 - 0
SSC
54%
26%
20%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2017 |
MON
2 - 1
TRI
44%
27%
30%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2017 |
TRI
0 - 0
UWI
43%
28%
29%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
BOY
2 - 4
TRI
37%
28%
34%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
TRI
2 - 0
LIO
48%
28%
25%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |