Waterhouse vs Tivoli Gardens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
32.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Waterhouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2017 |
SSC
1 - 2
WAT
50%
27%
23%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2017 |
WAT
0 - 2
CAV
58%
24%
18%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2017 |
HAR
0 - 0
WAT
49%
27%
24%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
WAT
0 - 5
POR
40%
27%
33%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2017 |
ARN
1 - 1
WAT
58%
24%
19%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Tivoli Gardens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2017 |
MON
0 - 0
TRI
50%
26%
25%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
TRI
0 - 0
SSC
52%
26%
22%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
CAV
0 - 1
TRI
31%
28%
41%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2017 |
TRI
1 - 0
HAR
48%
27%
25%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
POR
1 - 1
TRI
43%
28%
29%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |