Waterhouse vs Tivoli Gardens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
35.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Waterhouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
WAT
1 - 2
BOY
55%
24%
21%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
UWI
1 - 0
WAT
60%
24%
16%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
WAT
1 - 1
LIO
44%
27%
29%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2016 |
WAT
0 - 1
REN
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
POR
1 - 0
WAT
44%
29%
27%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Tivoli Gardens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
TRI
3 - 2
ARN
44%
26%
30%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
BOY
0 - 4
TRI
36%
28%
36%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
REN
1 - 2
TRI
38%
27%
35%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2016 |
TRI
1 - 0
LIO
43%
28%
29%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2016 |
BOY
3 - 1
TRI
35%
29%
36%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |