Waterhouse vs Tivoli Gardens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
29%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Waterhouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2016 |
HAR
0 - 2
WAT
50%
28%
22%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
LIO
1 - 0
WAT
46%
29%
25%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
WAT
0 - 3
JAM
48%
26%
26%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
ARN
2 - 1
WAT
52%
26%
22%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
UWI
1 - 0
WAT
55%
25%
19%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Tivoli Gardens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
TRI
1 - 1
MAG
46%
27%
27%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
TRI
1 - 2
UWI
46%
28%
26%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
POR
0 - 1
TRI
38%
29%
33%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
TRI
0 - 1
MON
43%
28%
29%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2016 |
HAR
0 - 3
TRI
45%
27%
27%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |