Waterhouse vs Tauro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
22.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Waterhouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2014 |
DCU
1 - 0
WAT
61%
22%
17%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2014 |
TAU
1 - 2
WAT
43%
27%
31%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2014 |
MON
5 - 2
WAT
44%
28%
28%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -2 |
| 13 May. 2014 |
ARN
1 - 2
WAT
48%
27%
25%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2014 |
WAT
3 - 3
ARN
51%
26%
23%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Tauro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
TAU
0 - 0
CHE
54%
26%
20%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
SMI
3 - 1
TAU
45%
26%
29%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
TAU
1 - 1
ARA
42%
29%
29%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2014 |
TAU
1 - 2
WAT
43%
27%
31%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
AMA
1 - 0
TAU
45%
26%
28%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |