Waterhouse vs Mount Pleasant analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
34.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
3º
14º
6º
59
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
40 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
85% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
85% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 7 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Waterhouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
LIO
1 - 5
WAT
35%
29%
36%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
WAT
0 - 0
ARN
35%
27%
39%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2024 |
VER
0 - 1
WAT
21%
28%
51%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
WAT
0 - 1
CAV
39%
27%
34%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
WAT
1 - 0
LIM
75%
17%
8%
|
68 | 8 | 60 | 0 |
Matches
Mount Pleasant
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
MPA
1 - 1
MON
65%
22%
13%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
MPA
1 - 0
TRI
44%
27%
29%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2024 |
HAR
1 - 2
MPA
32%
27%
41%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
MPA
1 - 1
MOL
63%
22%
15%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
DFC
1 - 2
MPA
42%
26%
32%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |