Waterhouse vs Mount Pleasant analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
28.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Waterhouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
LIO
1 - 1
WAT
30%
29%
41%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
WAT
0 - 2
MOL
65%
22%
14%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
POR
0 - 4
WAT
34%
30%
36%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
WAT
4 - 1
DFC
57%
24%
19%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2022 |
CAV
0 - 3
WAT
39%
29%
32%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Mount Pleasant
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
MPA
4 - 1
MOL
58%
25%
17%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
DFC
1 - 1
MPA
36%
28%
36%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
MPA
4 - 0
MON
56%
26%
19%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2022 |
VER
0 - 1
MPA
23%
28%
49%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
MPA
1 - 0
HAR
62%
24%
15%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |