Waterhouse vs Montego Bay United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.5%
11.3%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
3º
14º
6º
43
6º
12º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
40 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
85% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
85% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 7 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Waterhouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
TRI
3 - 0
WAT
32%
28%
40%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
WAT
0 - 0
LIO
47%
28%
25%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
POR
1 - 1
WAT
35%
30%
35%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
WAT
1 - 0
CAV
36%
28%
36%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2023 |
TRI
0 - 1
WAT
34%
28%
38%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Montego Bay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
LIM
0 - 0
MON
10%
19%
71%
|
54 | 8 | 46 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
MON
1 - 2
CAV
17%
24%
59%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
TRI
5 - 2
MON
55%
25%
20%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2023 |
MON
0 - 1
HAR
24%
27%
49%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
MON
2 - 1
FSC
44%
25%
32%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |