Waterhouse vs Humble Lions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
24.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
3º
14º
6º
25
3º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
40 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
85% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
85% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 7 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Waterhouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
ARN
1 - 0
WAT
54%
25%
22%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
WAT
4 - 1
VER
57%
25%
18%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2023 |
CAV
1 - 1
WAT
51%
27%
22%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
LIM
1 - 3
WAT
16%
23%
62%
|
68 | 9 | 59 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2023 |
WAT
3 - 0
MON
68%
21%
11%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Humble Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2023 |
LIO
3 - 2
MON
61%
25%
15%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2023 |
TRI
4 - 1
LIO
37%
28%
36%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2023 |
HAR
2 - 2
LIO
39%
29%
33%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
LIO
1 - 1
MOL
49%
27%
24%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
LIO
1 - 0
SFS
64%
23%
14%
|
68 | 33 | 35 | 0 |