Waterhouse vs Humble Lions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
25%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
21.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Waterhouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2020 |
HAR
1 - 1
WAT
27%
30%
43%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2020 |
WAT
3 - 0
DON
65%
21%
14%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2020 |
WAT
0 - 0
CFC
55%
23%
22%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
WAT
3 - 1
DFC
61%
23%
16%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
VER
0 - 1
WAT
23%
31%
46%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Humble Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2020 |
LIO
2 - 1
CAV
51%
28%
22%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2020 |
MPA
0 - 1
LIO
54%
26%
20%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
LIO
3 - 1
ARN
39%
27%
35%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
LIO
0 - 3
TRI
48%
27%
25%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
POR
0 - 2
LIO
47%
28%
25%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |