Waterhouse vs Dunbeholden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
32%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
3º
14º
6º
37
5º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
40 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
85% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
85% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 7 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Waterhouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2024 |
TBF
2 - 4
WAT
19%
24%
57%
|
70 | 10 | 60 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
POR
0 - 0
WAT
41%
29%
30%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
WAT
0 - 1
MPA
38%
27%
35%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
LIO
1 - 5
WAT
35%
29%
36%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
WAT
0 - 0
ARN
35%
27%
39%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Dunbeholden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2024 |
DFC
0 - 2
MON
70%
19%
11%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
TRI
1 - 1
DFC
45%
26%
29%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2024 |
DFC
3 - 0
HAR
58%
23%
19%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
MOL
2 - 4
DFC
31%
26%
44%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
LIM
1 - 4
DFC
17%
23%
61%
|
69 | 10 | 59 | 0 |