Waterhouse vs Chapelton Maroons analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
25%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
21.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
2º
8º
6º
20
5º
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 83 |
1º
|
68.5% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 79 |
2º
|
56% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 70 |
3º
|
40% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 68 |
4º
|
31% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 64 |
5º
|
35% | |
|
|
6º
|
34 | 57 |
6º
|
31% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 55 |
7º
|
32% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 47 |
8º
|
35.5% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 45 |
9º
|
27% | |
|
|
11º
|
20 | 42 |
10º
|
22.5% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 40 |
11º
|
25% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 38 |
12º
|
16% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 31 |
13º
|
27% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 30 |
14º
|
42.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
54% | 1.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
46% | 88% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 10.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Waterhouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
HAR
0 - 1
WAT
21%
27%
52%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
VER
0 - 3
WAT
20%
26%
54%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
WAT
0 - 1
TRI
39%
27%
35%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2025 |
CAV
2 - 2
WAT
55%
25%
20%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2024 |
WAT
0 - 3
MPA
31%
27%
42%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Chapelton Maroons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
CMF
0 - 3
POR
33%
27%
40%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
LIO
1 - 0
CMF
42%
26%
32%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
CMF
0 - 0
MOL
43%
24%
33%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
MON
2 - 1
CMF
58%
23%
20%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 2024 |
ARN
1 - 1
CMF
64%
21%
16%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | 0 |