Waterhouse vs Cavalier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
25.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Waterhouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2022 |
WAT
1 - 1
HAR
56%
24%
20%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2022 |
HAR
1 - 0
WAT
31%
29%
41%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
ARN
4 - 2
WAT
42%
28%
30%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2022 |
WAT
2 - 1
HAR
60%
23%
17%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2022 |
WAT
1 - 0
VER
61%
23%
16%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Cavalier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2022 |
DFC
3 - 4
CAV
51%
27%
22%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
CAV
0 - 1
DFC
40%
28%
32%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2022 |
CAV
1 - 1
MPA
36%
28%
37%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2022 |
MPA
0 - 0
CAV
48%
27%
25%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
CAV
0 - 1
TRI
48%
27%
25%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |