Waterhouse vs Cavalier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.9%
19.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Waterhouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
WAT
1 - 1
MPA
47%
27%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
MPA
0 - 1
WAT
44%
29%
26%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
POR
0 - 1
WAT
34%
29%
37%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2021 |
MOL
1 - 4
WAT
29%
29%
42%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
WAT
4 - 1
ARN
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Cavalier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
CAV
0 - 0
TRI
47%
27%
26%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
TRI
0 - 1
CAV
52%
25%
23%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
VER
0 - 1
CAV
31%
30%
38%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2021 |
CAV
1 - 0
POR
36%
26%
38%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2021 |
CAV
2 - 3
MPA
40%
29%
31%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |