Waterhouse vs Cavalier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
11%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.6%
20.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Waterhouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
LIO
2 - 1
WAT
34%
29%
37%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2021 |
WAT
1 - 1
TRI
54%
25%
21%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
WAT
0 - 0
VER
65%
21%
14%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
DFC
0 - 2
WAT
39%
30%
31%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2021 |
WAT
1 - 1
HAR
60%
23%
17%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Cavalier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
TRI
1 - 1
CAV
51%
26%
24%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
ARN
0 - 3
CAV
50%
26%
24%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
CAV
0 - 1
DFC
44%
27%
29%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2021 |
HAR
1 - 1
CAV
38%
29%
32%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
CAV
2 - 0
LIO
39%
28%
33%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |