Waterhouse vs Cavalier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
17.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Waterhouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2017 |
HAR
0 - 0
WAT
49%
27%
24%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
WAT
0 - 5
POR
40%
27%
33%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2017 |
ARN
1 - 1
WAT
58%
24%
19%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
WAT
1 - 1
REN
50%
26%
24%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
UWI
1 - 1
WAT
56%
26%
18%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Cavalier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
CAV
0 - 1
TRI
31%
28%
41%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
SSC
1 - 1
CAV
56%
25%
19%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2017 |
MON
1 - 2
CAV
65%
22%
13%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
CAV
0 - 1
HAR
36%
29%
36%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2017 |
POR
1 - 0
CAV
55%
26%
19%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |