Waterhouse vs Boys. Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
31.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Waterhouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2009 |
WAT
1 - 2
ARN
51%
26%
23%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
WAT
0 - 1
TRI
43%
27%
30%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2009 |
HAR
2 - 2
WAT
53%
27%
21%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2009 |
POR
2 - 0
WAT
52%
27%
21%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2009 |
WAT
2 - 1
SPO
59%
23%
18%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Boys. Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2009 |
HAR
2 - 1
BOY
47%
27%
26%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
BOY
3 - 1
POR
44%
28%
28%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2009 |
TRI
3 - 2
BOY
54%
25%
21%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2009 |
ARN
3 - 2
BOY
40%
29%
31%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2009 |
BOY
0 - 4
TRI
47%
27%
26%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |