Waterhouse vs Arnett Gardens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
37.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
3º
11º
6º
52
1º
7º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
52 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 46 |
4º
|
66% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 42 |
5º
|
43% | |
|
|
6º
|
41 | 42 |
6º
|
44.5% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 39 |
7º
|
61% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
70% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
86.5% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
86.5% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 15 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
91% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
9% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Waterhouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
MON
1 - 0
WAT
24%
27%
49%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2022 |
WAT
2 - 1
MOL
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2022 |
PAC
6 - 0
WAT
68%
18%
15%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -2 |
| 27 Jul. 2022 |
WAT
0 - 0
PAC
43%
23%
34%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
WAT
1 - 4
CAV
49%
26%
25%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Arnett Gardens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2022 |
CAV
1 - 2
ARN
40%
27%
33%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2022 |
ARN
1 - 1
HAR
57%
23%
19%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2022 |
HAR
1 - 1
ARN
28%
26%
45%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
ARN
4 - 2
WAT
42%
28%
30%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2022 |
TRI
1 - 3
ARN
42%
25%
33%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |