Waterhouse vs Arnett Gardens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
29%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Waterhouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2019 |
MPA
2 - 0
WAT
44%
30%
26%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2019 |
WAT
0 - 1
CAV
56%
25%
19%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
MON
0 - 3
WAT
35%
29%
36%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2018 |
WAT
1 - 1
POR
41%
26%
34%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2018 |
HAR
1 - 5
WAT
33%
31%
36%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Arnett Gardens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2019 |
ARN
0 - 1
POR
38%
26%
36%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2019 |
HAR
0 - 0
ARN
31%
27%
43%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 2018 |
ARN
2 - 0
DFC
57%
24%
20%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2018 |
ARN
1 - 1
REN
64%
22%
14%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2018 |
UWI
3 - 1
ARN
35%
27%
38%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |