First Division Final
Global 3-1
Waterford United vs Longford Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
14.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Waterford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
LON
0 - 2
WAT
34%
27%
39%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
ATH
2 - 3
WAT
15%
24%
61%
|
65 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2012 |
WAT
1 - 2
MER
72%
18%
10%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
FIN
1 - 2
WAT
23%
27%
50%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2012 |
WAT
4 - 2
LON
54%
25%
21%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Longford Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
LON
0 - 2
WAT
34%
27%
39%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
FIN
1 - 0
LON
30%
27%
44%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
LON
0 - 2
LIM
19%
24%
57%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
LON
1 - 2
SAL
78%
15%
7%
|
59 | 36 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2012 |
WAT
4 - 2
LON
54%
25%
21%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |