Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 4-1
Waterford United vs Hibernians analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.3%
22.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Waterford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1980 |
HIB
1 - 0
WAT
57%
20%
23%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1979 |
WAT
1 - 1
GÖT
28%
22%
50%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1979 |
GÖT
1 - 0
WAT
81%
12%
7%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1973 |
UJP
3 - 0
WAT
89%
7%
4%
|
61 | 82 | 21 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1973 |
WAT
2 - 3
UJP
16%
20%
64%
|
61 | 82 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Hibernians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1980 |
HIB
1 - 0
WAT
57%
20%
23%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1979 |
HIB
1 - 0
DUN
43%
22%
35%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1979 |
DUN
2 - 0
HIB
66%
17%
16%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1978 |
HIB
3 - 2
SPB
31%
24%
46%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 1978 |
SPB
5 - 0
HIB
79%
13%
8%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | -1 |