Waterford United vs Dundalk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
23%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
1º
8º
4º
24
8º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 64 |
1º
|
59.5% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 60 |
2º
|
39.5% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 56 |
3º
|
33.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
43 | 53 |
4º
|
22% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 52 |
5º
|
24% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 50 |
6º
|
26% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 49 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 44 |
8º
|
59% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 33 |
9º
|
67% | |
|
|
10º
|
24 | 31 |
10º
|
69% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
20.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
79.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 31% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 69% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Waterford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2024 |
SHR
1 - 3
WAT
54%
23%
23%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
SLR
0 - 1
WAT
27%
27%
46%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
WAT
0 - 2
DER
41%
26%
33%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
STP
1 - 1
WAT
48%
25%
27%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
WAT
0 - 0
GAL
44%
25%
32%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Dundalk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2024 |
DRO
2 - 1
DUN
33%
28%
39%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
DUN
0 - 0
SHE
39%
27%
34%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
DUN
2 - 0
BOH
42%
27%
31%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
SLR
1 - 1
DUN
32%
28%
40%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
BOH
1 - 0
DUN
53%
24%
23%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |