Waterford United vs Drogheda United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
14.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
1º
8º
7º
32
9º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 61 |
1º
|
61% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 57 |
2º
|
35.5% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 56 |
3º
|
21.5% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 56 |
4º
|
26% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 51 |
5º
|
27% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 51 |
6º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
43 | 50 |
7º
|
49% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 43 |
8º
|
78.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
32 | 37 |
9º
|
93.5% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 28 |
10º
|
98.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99% | 5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0.5% | 93.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 1.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Waterford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2024 |
SHE
1 - 0
WAT
42%
26%
31%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
WAT
4 - 1
DUN
53%
24%
23%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2024 |
SHR
1 - 3
WAT
54%
23%
23%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
SLR
0 - 1
WAT
27%
27%
46%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
WAT
0 - 2
DER
41%
26%
33%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Drogheda United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2024 |
DRO
2 - 3
GAL
29%
27%
44%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
SHE
1 - 1
DRO
60%
23%
17%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2024 |
DRO
2 - 1
DUN
33%
28%
39%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
STP
1 - 0
DRO
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2024 |
SHR
4 - 0
DRO
67%
20%
13%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |