Waterford United vs Derry City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
39%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Waterford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2018 |
WAT
2 - 2
SHE
46%
24%
30%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2018 |
COB
0 - 1
WAT
32%
25%
43%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2018 |
WAT
1 - 2
CAB
64%
20%
16%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2018 |
TAF
0 - 1
WAT
4%
10%
86%
|
61 | 8 | 53 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
COB
2 - 1
WAT
34%
27%
39%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2017 |
DER
1 - 1
STP
57%
24%
19%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
SLR
3 - 0
DER
31%
28%
41%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2017 |
CAO
0 - 0
DER
58%
23%
19%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2017 |
DER
3 - 0
FIN
70%
19%
11%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2017 |
DER
2 - 1
DRO
74%
17%
9%
|
70 | 51 | 19 | 0 |