Waterford United vs Bray Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.2%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.6%
6.2%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
69
1º
5º
2º
44
2º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
94 | 94 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 10 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Waterford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
ATH
0 - 1
WAT
14%
21%
65%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2023 |
WAT
0 - 1
GAL
59%
23%
19%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
WAT
1 - 1
LON
75%
16%
8%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
WEX
0 - 3
WAT
22%
24%
54%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
WAT
0 - 2
STP
39%
24%
36%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Bray Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2023 |
BRW
2 - 1
SHR
11%
19%
70%
|
46 | 72 | 26 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
BRW
0 - 0
LON
32%
25%
42%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2023 |
FIN
1 - 1
BRW
61%
21%
18%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
BRW
3 - 1
KEF
93%
5%
1%
|
45 | 6 | 39 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
TRE
0 - 1
BRW
64%
21%
15%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | +1 |