Waterford United vs Athlone Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.5%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
14%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14%
7.5%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
69
1º
5º
2º
47
1º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
94 | 94 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 10 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Waterford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
TRE
2 - 2
WAT
12%
21%
66%
|
68 | 49 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
BRW
0 - 1
WAT
9%
19%
72%
|
68 | 45 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2023 |
CAO
3 - 0
WAT
20%
21%
59%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
WAT
2 - 2
GAL
54%
23%
22%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2023 |
WEX
0 - 1
WAT
14%
22%
65%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Athlone Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
ATH
0 - 2
WEX
55%
22%
23%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
LON
2 - 3
ATH
37%
25%
38%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2023 |
ATH
4 - 1
FIN
50%
23%
27%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
BRW
2 - 2
ATH
31%
24%
46%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
ATH
1 - 1
WAT
14%
21%
65%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | +1 |