Warta Poznan vs Stomil Olsztyn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
18.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Warta Poznan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2020 |
CHO
1 - 2
WAR
38%
27%
35%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2020 |
WAR
2 - 2
GKS
38%
26%
36%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2020 |
ZAG
0 - 2
WAR
53%
24%
23%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2020 |
WAR
1 - 2
PUS
60%
24%
17%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2020 |
WAR
1 - 2
CHR
55%
24%
21%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Stomil Olsztyn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2020 |
STO
2 - 1
GKS
25%
26%
49%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2020 |
PUS
0 - 0
STO
47%
26%
27%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2020 |
STO
1 - 2
MIE
29%
28%
43%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2020 |
TER
2 - 0
STO
57%
24%
20%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2020 |
STO
2 - 0
OLI
43%
26%
32%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |