Warta Poznan vs Pogon Siedlce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
16.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
12º
18º
12º
9
15º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 72 |
1º
|
61.5% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 68 |
2º
|
38.5% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 63 |
3º
|
21.5% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 60 |
4º
|
17.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 60 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 59 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 54 |
7º
|
24% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 50 |
8º
|
25.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 48 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 46 |
10º
|
22.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 43 |
11º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
19 | 40 |
12º
|
19.5% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 38 |
13º
|
21% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 34 |
14º
|
20% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 33 |
15º
|
20% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 29 |
16º
|
26.5% | |
|
17º
|
11 | 24 |
17º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
18º
|
9 | 21 |
18º
|
60% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
94% | 5.5% |
|
Relegation
|
6% | 94.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Warta Poznan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
ODR
0 - 0
WAR
34%
29%
38%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
WAR
1 - 0
CHR
58%
24%
18%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2024 |
WAR
0 - 3
ZAL
40%
25%
35%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
RCH
2 - 1
WAR
45%
27%
28%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
KOT
0 - 1
WAR
31%
29%
40%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Pogon Siedlce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
POG
2 - 1
KOT
32%
25%
42%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
MIE
4 - 1
POG
74%
17%
9%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
POG
1 - 1
GOR
23%
26%
51%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
ARK
2 - 1
POG
77%
16%
8%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
POG
1 - 3
WIS
13%
20%
68%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |