Warta Poznan vs Pelikan Lowicz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
17.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Warta Poznan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2008 |
POD
2 - 1
WAR
58%
25%
18%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2008 |
LOM
0 - 1
WAR
37%
26%
37%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
WAR
1 - 2
GDA
26%
27%
47%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
MOT
1 - 0
WAR
57%
24%
19%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
WAR
2 - 0
ODR
52%
26%
22%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Pelikan Lowicz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2008 |
PEL
2 - 2
GDA
16%
24%
60%
|
45 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2008 |
MOT
3 - 0
PEL
62%
23%
15%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
PEL
3 - 1
ODR
39%
27%
33%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +2 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
POL
2 - 2
PEL
82%
13%
5%
|
44 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
PEL
0 - 1
MGJ
34%
25%
41%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |