Warta Poznan vs Lechia Gdansk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.1%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
6%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
63.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.5%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Warta Poznan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2020 |
STA
3 - 3
WAR
23%
25%
52%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2020 |
WAR
2 - 0
RAD
42%
26%
32%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +2 |
| 28 Jul. 2020 |
WAR
1 - 0
TER
41%
27%
32%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2020 |
WAR
1 - 2
STO
58%
24%
18%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2020 |
CHO
1 - 2
WAR
38%
27%
35%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Lechia Gdansk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2020 |
STA
0 - 4
GDA
9%
19%
72%
|
76 | 50 | 26 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2020 |
CRA
3 - 2
GDA
38%
25%
37%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2020 |
SLA
1 - 2
GDA
38%
26%
36%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2020 |
GDA
0 - 0
WAR
34%
26%
40%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2020 |
LPO
3 - 2
GDA
49%
25%
25%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |