Warta Poznan vs Motor Lublin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
45.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Warta Poznan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2007 |
ODR
1 - 0
WAR
36%
27%
37%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
WAR
0 - 0
POL
24%
26%
51%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2007 |
MGJ
2 - 1
WAR
44%
25%
31%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
WAR
1 - 1
PLO
20%
25%
54%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2007 |
PGL
2 - 2
WAR
55%
23%
22%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Motor Lublin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
MOT
0 - 1
GDA
58%
24%
18%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
MOT
1 - 2
LOM
76%
17%
7%
|
65 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2007 |
ODR
0 - 2
MOT
20%
26%
54%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
MOT
2 - 0
POL
38%
28%
34%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2007 |
MGJ
1 - 0
MOT
24%
26%
50%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | -1 |