Warta Poznan vs Kmita Zabierzów analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
17.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Warta Poznan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2007 |
WAR
2 - 1
ZNI
41%
26%
33%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
PEL
0 - 1
WAR
23%
23%
54%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
WAR
0 - 2
POD
46%
26%
28%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2007 |
WAR
0 - 2
LOM
61%
22%
17%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -2 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
GDA
3 - 1
WAR
56%
23%
21%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Kmita Zabierzów
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2007 |
PEL
1 - 1
KMI
31%
26%
44%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
KMI
2 - 3
GDA
30%
26%
43%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
MOT
1 - 1
KMI
72%
19%
9%
|
47 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2007 |
KMI
1 - 1
ODR
43%
27%
29%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
POL
0 - 0
KMI
80%
14%
6%
|
46 | 66 | 20 | +1 |