Warta Poznan vs Jarota Jarocin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
11.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Warta Poznan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2013 |
ZAG
2 - 1
WAR
42%
26%
32%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
GOR
3 - 1
WAR
33%
26%
41%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
WAR
0 - 2
STA
75%
16%
9%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
WAR
3 - 2
GRY
67%
20%
13%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2013 |
ODR
1 - 1
WAR
26%
26%
49%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Jarota Jarocin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
JAR
3 - 1
ODR
39%
27%
34%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
JAR
0 - 2
OST
37%
26%
37%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
RAK
3 - 1
JAR
54%
24%
22%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
JAR
3 - 1
ZIE
49%
25%
27%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
KLU
2 - 1
JAR
69%
19%
12%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | 0 |