Lee Man Warriors vs Kowloon City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
15.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
2º
4º
3º
17
2º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
23 | 47 |
1º
|
26% | |
|
1º
|
29 | 47 |
2º
|
20% | |
|
|
4º
|
22 | 46 |
3º
|
27% | |
|
2º
|
24 | 45 |
4º
|
26.5% | |
|
6º
|
10 | 31 |
5º
|
40% | |
|
|
5º
|
17 | 31 |
6º
|
35.5% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 21 |
7º
|
42.5% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 18 |
8º
|
44% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 14 |
9º
|
69% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
14.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
85.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lee Man Warriors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2025 |
EAS
1 - 0
WAR
39%
23%
38%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
WAR
4 - 3
NDT
78%
15%
7%
|
68 | 48 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
BIU
1 - 2
WAR
20%
22%
58%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
WTP
1 - 0
WAR
42%
25%
34%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
WAR
2 - 1
KFC
40%
22%
38%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Kowloon City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
SDI
0 - 1
KWL
60%
22%
19%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
HON
0 - 0
KWL
31%
24%
45%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
NDT
3 - 1
KWL
22%
23%
54%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
KWL
0 - 5
KFC
22%
23%
55%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
WAR
3 - 1
KWL
63%
21%
17%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |