Lee Man Warriors vs Kitchee FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
36.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
1º
4º
1º
45
1º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
54 | 54 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 12 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 9 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 7 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
AFC Champions League 2 qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lee Man Warriors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
RES
1 - 3
WAR
20%
24%
56%
|
68 | 46 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
KFC
2 - 2
WAR
52%
23%
24%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
WAR
4 - 0
SHA
84%
12%
4%
|
67 | 39 | 28 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
HKU
1 - 5
WAR
19%
24%
57%
|
66 | 42 | 24 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
WAR
1 - 1
EAS
40%
26%
34%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Kitchee FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
KFC
8 - 0
HON
72%
17%
12%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
KFC
3 - 0
WTP
78%
14%
7%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
TRA
1 - 1
KFC
12%
17%
71%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
UTH
3 - 2
KFC
12%
16%
72%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 3
KFC
7%
13%
80%
|
70 | 45 | 25 | 0 |