Lee Man Warriors vs Hong Kong FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
10.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
1º
4º
1º
18
5º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
54 | 54 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
18 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 12 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 9 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 7 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
AFC Champions League 2 qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lee Man Warriors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
BIU
0 - 3
WAR
20%
23%
57%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
HON
0 - 4
WAR
16%
21%
63%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
EAS
1 - 1
WAR
41%
26%
34%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
WAR
4 - 0
NDT
77%
15%
7%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
WAR
4 - 1
RES
72%
18%
10%
|
69 | 44 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Hong Kong FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
SDI
2 - 1
HON
71%
17%
12%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
HON
0 - 4
WAR
16%
21%
63%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
HON
2 - 1
HKU
72%
16%
12%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
KFC
2 - 0
HON
78%
13%
9%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
HON
1 - 3
KFC
15%
20%
65%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | -1 |