Warrington Town vs North Ferriby United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
49.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Warrington Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
WAR
1 - 2
MOS
50%
24%
26%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2014 |
WAR
1 - 0
COL
35%
26%
39%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
COL
1 - 1
WAR
55%
23%
23%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2014 |
WAR
1 - 1
BUR
68%
19%
13%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
HAR
1 - 2
WAR
21%
22%
57%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
North Ferriby United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
NOR
4 - 4
GUI
38%
25%
37%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
NOR
2 - 1
GRA
66%
19%
15%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2014 |
NOR
3 - 1
LEA
61%
21%
18%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
FYL
1 - 0
NOR
49%
25%
26%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
CLE
1 - 2
NOR
20%
22%
58%
|
50 | 32 | 18 | 0 |