Warrington Town vs Guiseley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
17.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Warrington Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
WAR
0 - 1
MAR
57%
22%
20%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2022 |
WHI
2 - 1
WAR
19%
23%
58%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
GUI
1 - 3
WAR
33%
25%
42%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
WAR
3 - 1
SOU
32%
26%
42%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +2 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
WAR
3 - 1
MAT
47%
26%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Guiseley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
RAD
4 - 2
GUI
55%
24%
21%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2022 |
GUI
1 - 2
ASH
54%
23%
23%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
GUI
1 - 3
WAR
33%
25%
42%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -2 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
MAC
0 - 2
GUI
59%
22%
18%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | +3 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
RFC
1 - 1
GUI
46%
27%
27%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |