Warrington Rylands 1906 FC vs Bamber Bridge analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.9%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
14.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
7º
21º
7º
30
7º
20º
19º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
19º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 102 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 81 |
2º
|
41.5% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 80 |
3º
|
32.5% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 76 |
4º
|
29% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 73 |
5º
|
26.5% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 66 |
6º
|
20.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
40 | 64 |
7º
|
22% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 60 |
8º
|
19.5% | |
|
17º
|
32 | 60 |
9º
|
7.5% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 57 |
10º
|
7% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 56 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 55 |
12º
|
9% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 53 |
13º
|
9% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 52 |
14º
|
9.5% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 51 |
15º
|
11% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 51 |
16º
|
9% | |
|
16º
|
32 | 50 |
17º
|
14% | |
|
18º
|
32 | 50 |
18º
|
11% | |
|
|
19º
|
30 | 45 |
19º
|
29.5% | |
|
20º
|
27 | 38 |
20º
|
44.5% | |
|
21º
|
24 | 33 |
21º
|
55.5% | |
|
22º
|
16 | 24 |
22º
|
88.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
10.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
89.5% | 59% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 41% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Warrington Rylands 1906 FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
RYL
3 - 1
NEW
66%
20%
15%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
NEW
1 - 1
RYL
18%
21%
61%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
RYL
1 - 1
UNM
65%
19%
15%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
WOR
1 - 1
RYL
23%
24%
53%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
RYL
4 - 0
THA
78%
15%
7%
|
48 | 22 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Bamber Bridge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
WOR
1 - 2
BAM
46%
22%
32%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
BAM
4 - 2
PRE
45%
22%
33%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
HEB
5 - 1
BAM
67%
19%
14%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
NEW
1 - 1
BAM
37%
23%
40%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
BAM
1 - 1
NEW
55%
21%
24%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |