Warrenpoint Town vs Lisburn Distillery analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.1%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
13.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Warrenpoint Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
LIM
2 - 0
WAR
44%
25%
31%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
WAR
1 - 1
COA
84%
11%
5%
|
54 | 34 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
TOB
0 - 0
WAR
9%
18%
73%
|
54 | 30 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
COA
4 - 1
WAR
10%
18%
72%
|
54 | 30 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
WAR
1 - 2
RRF
84%
11%
5%
|
54 | 27 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2024 |
RRF
3 - 4
LIS
25%
23%
52%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
COA
0 - 1
LIS
32%
23%
44%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
LIS
1 - 1
COA
61%
20%
19%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
LIS
0 - 2
RRF
70%
18%
13%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
QUB
1 - 1
LIS
71%
16%
12%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |