Waren vs Union Fürstenwalde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
62.2%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
7%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-90%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Waren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2013 |
WAR
2 - 1
WAL
31%
25%
44%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2013 |
WAR
0 - 0
MAL
18%
21%
60%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
ALT
5 - 1
WAR
70%
17%
13%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
POM
2 - 0
WAR
48%
23%
30%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
WAR
3 - 3
LIC
46%
23%
31%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Union Fürstenwalde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2013 |
UNI
1 - 3
VIK
46%
25%
29%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
HAN
1 - 3
UNI
52%
23%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +2 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
ANK
0 - 1
UNI
19%
21%
60%
|
42 | 23 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
UNI
3 - 0
BSC
66%
19%
15%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
BFC
0 - 2
UNI
44%
25%
32%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +2 |