Waren vs Pommern Greifswald analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.4%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
67%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Waren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
LIC
5 - 3
WAR
81%
13%
6%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
WAR
0 - 4
HAN
8%
15%
78%
|
12 | 47 | 35 | -2 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
ALT
3 - 0
WAR
85%
11%
4%
|
12 | 43 | 31 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
WAR
1 - 2
LIC
12%
20%
67%
|
13 | 50 | 37 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
UNI
3 - 0
WAR
83%
12%
5%
|
13 | 41 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Pommern Greifswald
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
POM
0 - 0
VIK
18%
22%
60%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
LIC
2 - 1
POM
34%
24%
42%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
POM
2 - 2
ANK
29%
23%
48%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
HAN
0 - 2
POM
83%
12%
5%
|
22 | 47 | 25 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
POM
2 - 0
BSC
38%
23%
38%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | +1 |