Waren vs Lichterfelder analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
31.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Waren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
HAN
6 - 1
WAR
81%
12%
7%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
WAR
2 - 1
ALT
17%
22%
61%
|
19 | 38 | 19 | +3 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
WAR
0 - 2
VIK
15%
21%
65%
|
21 | 44 | 23 | -2 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
LUC
3 - 4
WAR
79%
13%
8%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | +2 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
ANK
0 - 0
WAR
68%
18%
14%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Lichterfelder
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2013 |
LIC
1 - 2
MAL
22%
23%
55%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
POM
3 - 2
LIC
40%
24%
36%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2013 |
LIC
2 - 5
LIC
21%
24%
55%
|
25 | 46 | 21 | -2 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
UNI
3 - 0
LIC
70%
17%
13%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
VIK
2 - 1
LIC
73%
17%
10%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | -1 |