Waremme vs Lierse SK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
7.6%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.7%
73.6%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
3.1%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
5.8%
2-5
1.8%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
15.5%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
3.3%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
9.6%
0-5
3%
1-6
1.5%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
5%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2.2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Waremme
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
WAR
3 - 2
KNO
37%
22%
41%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
WAR
3 - 0
JON
82%
12%
6%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
WAR
10 - 1
LIB
83%
12%
5%
|
48 | 26 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
WAR
6 - 3
LON
80%
13%
7%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
VER
1 - 2
WAR
26%
23%
51%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Lierse SK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
UNI
2 - 2
LIE
34%
27%
39%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
LIE
2 - 0
CER
38%
27%
36%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2016 |
KSV
2 - 2
LIE
33%
27%
41%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2016 |
RUP
1 - 2
LIE
16%
19%
65%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | +2 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
LIE
1 - 2
CCF
30%
25%
45%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | -1 |