Waremme vs Binche analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
43.5%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
10º
18º
18º
55
1º
11º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 62 |
2º
|
79% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 62 |
3º
|
60% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 59 |
4º
|
44.5% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 57 |
5º
|
74% | |
|
|
6º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
30.5% | |
|
8º
|
50 | 51 |
8º
|
31% | |
|
9º
|
50 | 51 |
9º
|
30.5% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 48 |
10º
|
54% | |
|
11º
|
45 | 46 |
11º
|
65.5% | |
|
12º
|
44 | 44 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
44 | 44 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
38 | 38 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
91.5% | |
|
16º
|
31 | 31 |
16º
|
91.5% | |
|
17º
|
24 | 25 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
|
18º
|
19 | 19 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Waremme
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
ACR
2 - 1
WAR
65%
17%
18%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
WAR
1 - 1
SER
45%
21%
34%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
STA
3 - 1
WAR
60%
21%
19%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
WAR
1 - 1
GAN
22%
23%
55%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
WAR
0 - 2
GAN
27%
23%
50%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Binche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
BIN
2 - 4
REB
38%
26%
36%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
MEU
1 - 4
BIN
81%
13%
7%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | +2 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
BIN
3 - 0
NAM
23%
24%
53%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +3 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
TUB
0 - 1
BIN
76%
15%
8%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
VIS
3 - 1
BIN
63%
20%
17%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -1 |